有没有办法使用Python生成不相关的随机变量? [英] Is there any way to generate uncorrelated random variables using Python?
问题描述
假设我想生成两个随机变量X
和Y
,它们不相关且均匀分布在[0,1]
中.>
生成这样的非常简单的代码如下,它调用了两次 random
函数:
随机导入xT=0yT=0xyT=0对于我在范围内(20000):x = random.random()y = random.random()xT += xyT += yxyT += x*yxyT/20000-xT/20000*yT/20000
然而,随机数实际上是由公式生成的伪随机数,因此它们是相关的.
如何生成两个不相关(或尽可能少相关)的随机变量?
关于 RNG 的数学是可靠的.如今,最流行的实现也是如此.因此,您对
的猜想<块引用>由公式生成,因此它们是相关的.
不正确.
但如果你真的很深刻地这么想,那就有办法了:
Suppose I want to generate two random variables X
and Y
which are uncorrelated and uniformly distributed in [0,1]
.
The very naive code to generate such is the following, which calls the random
function twice:
import random
xT=0
yT=0
xyT=0
for i in range(20000):
x = random.random()
y = random.random()
xT += x
yT += y
xyT += x*y
xyT/20000-xT/20000*yT/20000
However, the random number is really a pseudo-random number which is generated by a formula, therefore they are correlated.
How to generate two uncorrelated (or correlated as little as possible) random variables?
The math on RNGs is solid. These days most popular implementations are too. As such, your conjecture of
is generated by a formula, therefore they are correlated.
is incorrect.
But if you really truly deeply think that way, there is an out: hardware random number generators. The site at random.org has been providing hardware RNG draws "as a service" for a long time. Here is an example (in R, which I use more, but there is an official Python client):
R> library(random)
R> randomNumbers(min=1, max=20000) # your range, default number
V1 V2 V3 V4 V5
[1,] 532 19452 5203 13646 5462
[2,] 4611 10814 3694 12731 566
[3,] 11884 19897 1601 10652 791
[4,] 17427 9524 7522 1051 9432
[5,] 5426 5079 2232 2517 4883
[6,] 13807 9194 19980 1706 9205
[7,] 13043 16250 12827 2161 10789
[8,] 7060 6008 9110 8388 1102
[9,] 12042 19342 2001 17780 3100
[10,] 11690 4986 4389 14187 17191
[11,] 19574 13615 3129 17176 5590
[12,] 11104 5361 8000 5260 343
[13,] 7518 7484 7359 16840 12213
[14,] 14914 1991 19952 10127 14981
[15,] 13528 18602 10182 1075 16480
[16,] 9631 17160 19808 11662 10514
[17,] 4827 13960 17003 864 11159
[18,] 8939 7095 16102 19836 15490
[19,] 8321 6007 1787 6113 17948
[20,] 9751 7060 8355 19065 15180
R>
Edit: The OP seems unconvinced, so there is a quick reproducible simulation (again, in R because that is what I use):
R> set.seed(42) # set seed for RNG
R> mean(replicate(10, cor(runif(100), runif(100))))
[1] -0.0358398
R> mean(replicate(100, cor(runif(100), runif(100))))
[1] 0.0191165
R> mean(replicate(1000, cor(runif(100), runif(100))))
[1] -0.00117392
R>
So you see that as we go from 10 to 100 to 1000 replications of just 100 U(0,1), the correlations estimate goes to zero.
We can make this a little nice with a plot, recovering the same data and some more:
R> set.seed(42)
R> x <- 10^(1:5) # powers of ten from 1 to 5, driving 10^1 to 10^5 sims
R> y <- sapply(x, function(n) mean(replicate(n, cor(runif(100), runif(100)))))
R> y # same first numbers as seed reset to same start
[1] -0.035839756 0.019116460 -0.001173916 -0.000588006 -0.000290494
R> plot(x, y, type='b', main="Illustration of convergence towards zero", log="x")
R> abline(h=0, col="grey", lty="dotted")
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